Chronicle of February 22: The Ukraine War


                                       Chronicle of February 22

                                            It was coming

*Please note that this article was written on 28/02/2022, and all information is current as of this moment. Please note this is a rough draft only, and will remain so as the situation evolves.

We have all been shocked by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. I must admit I did not believe the situation would go this way. And hindsight analysis is of course the easiest and lowest form of discussion. But it would seem this was coming. A moment of crisis. And we in the West need to take stock and realise this could be a crucial moment and conflict. This will likely be just the first in a set of worldwide conflicts that will be happening over the next few decades. A series of failures in Western diplomacy, internal policies, and its general lethargy have led to this pass, as serious people have watched us, closely, carefully, for weaknesses they can exploit and change the world balance to their totalitarian notions of ‘equality.’

              1: Failures and the changing balance

It has all started with the boring old facts of economics and demographics. The harsh truth is that Europe, the United states, and a few other nations considered ‘Western’ have been outpaced economically by China, India, and several other nations in the last generation. This has of course been a good thing in many respects: millions have been lifted from poverty. But with the economic centre of the world shifting eastward, this has led many powers – many led by vicious, soulless crocadilian dictators – to reassess the power balance and carry out their dreams of an irredentist, and possibly genocidal conquest of large sections of the world’s surface.

America got bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan from 2001 onward. This diverted the US and most of its allies to the middle east, while they focused most of their armies training and weaponry on anti-insurgency, something they are only now realising was a significant strategic mistake as the Russians, Turks, Chinese – the real, long-term military threat – have slowly evened up their conventional warfare capabilities, to the point that many strategists believe these nations could contend with the west militarily in conventional warfare terms.

The economic crash of 2008 illustrated the weakness of western economic systems. Its ineffective handling of the migrant crisis was another score in the dartboard, with many nations simply going their own way in terms of policies. Similarly there was obvious division with regards to Brexit, which ripped the EU at the seams and isolated Britain.

The poor EU response and high casualties at the hands of Covid were another reason: From most non-EU members eyes, this is evidence of an aging , arthiritic west that is physically and spiritually unhealthy.

Next came the open internal problems leading up to active discussion of Civil war in the United states with the storming of the capitol buildings. Not to mention the constant circus of US elections every 4 years. All this, in effect, hung a ‘free eats, come and get it’ sign on America’s door.

 The utter disaster in Afghanistan was yet another sign, and it is no coincidence that this conflict – as well as renewed discussion of Taiwan and Ukraine – erupted mere months afterward.

Finally, the west’s general handling of the Ukraine itself has received much coverage, and indeed, Russia does have some limited justification in having fears of NATO nuclear missiles being placed only minutes from Moscow. Killings by Ukrainian fascists have occurred and there is no denying this. Yet the bottom line is that the bulk of Ukraine’s population is most definitely NOT fascist and has little interest in doing anything except defending itself. I have personally visited the country and no such evidence existed – I personally saw numerous ethnicities living together peacefully in Lviv, Ukraine’s historic capital. Generally speaking though, the West has much to learn that such ‘tip and run’ diplomatic tactics- refusing to rule out NATO membership for Ukraine, in effect notionally threatening Russia, then also refusing to back it up with troops before an invasion – is something to learn from, especially in Taiwan: either be ready to fight, or be honest and don’t sell people out.

                          2: Ideas

Westerners themselves have not helped this situation. Many Western Politicians, universities and media outlets have openly propounded either far left or far right attitudes that, at worst, are downright traitorous. On one hand, we can see ex-president Trumps statements about Putin’s ‘Genius’ in his invasion of Ukraine. Yet one should not ignore that ‘Woke’ rhetoric, which has permeated so many of the usual forums for grounded discussion has stultified discussion, and generally taught westerners to undervalue themselves and their own core values, of a secular, democratic, socratic tradition, and replacing it with a bunch of notions that in this authors opinion are also borderline seditious. Teaching that multiple values systems are equal – in other words, that Islamism, Russian ethnic nationalism or Chinese Communism are equal to the West’s ideas is just plain wrong in this authors view. And there is no way round this. The obsession with race and gender (though only very specific issues of race and gender as pre-approved by the church of woke) has diverted and distracted westerners at a crucial moment. There is a deep spiritual crisis and moment of self-doubt going on in the west, which has been carefully observed in Beijing and the Kremlin and elsewhere. Much of this is a genuine guilt over the West’s colonial past and failures closer to the present as in the unwarranted invasion of Iraq and failure in afghanistan. Yet the bottom line is that A: current generations of westerners are not responsible for the sins of their fathers. And 2: It is unwise to ignore that similar ideas of guilt hobbled post-Versailles Britain and France’s response to the growing Nazi threat in the leadup to 1939. Had they responded more quickly and firmly, they may well have prevented war to begin with, as in Czechoslovakia.

While Westerners have become overfocused on race and gender issues, far more serious people in China and Russia have been looking on, licking their lips in prospect of a meal.

Can anyone truly blame them? Vladimir Putin and Xi Xinping inhabit a different world which is far away from the air-fairy over-moralistic world that many western citizens do. Their ideas are driven by nationalism, a sense of settling scores and changing the international balance to suit themselves, and darwinian “we’re stronger, therefore give us your stuff” thinking.  

3: Ethnicity and China

The weaponization of ethnicity as by Putin in Ukraine has been a long theme in the last century. Many nations have used this as a prelude to invasions of other countries, to justify their irredentist wet dreams. An obvious example is of the sudetanland Germans, who justified Nazi Germany’s takeover of said regions. Many of these ethnicities don’t want to ‘reunite’ with their ‘brothers’ in aggressor nations, such as Taiwan or, indeed parts of Ukraine itself, Latvia, Estonia, etc.

China, with its vast, growing economy, classically orwellian techno-surveillance methods, scarily growing new military backed by growing missile forces (including the hypersonic weapons much-discussed) with ranges stretching into the Pacific and cyber-warfare methods is now actively considering an invasion of Taiwan, and doubtlessly watching this situation rather closely. In my opinion, this is just the first step China will take in essentially conquering the region or establishing a sphere of influence, a fresh ‘Sino Co-prosperity sphere’ if you will. There are large Chinese minorities in Malaysia, and Indonesia, as well as smaller ones scattered around South-East Asia, not to mention the Ethnically Chinese (and democratic) city of Singapore. All of these ethnic chinese could provide a sort of moral justification for future Chinese military action. After all, these ethnic Chinese have a history of being discriminated against (Bumiputera policy in Muslim Malaysia), and the mass slaughter of communists in 1965-66. Nor is it clear that Taiwan or even the united states could stop this happening without the use of nuclear weapons. US aircraft carriers are increasingly vulnerable to China’s missile systems and stealth aircraft, not to mention that

Despite its current, reasonable relations with these nations, one should learn from history: An intelligent leader like China’s Xi would know not to simply try to invade all these countries at once, and to divide them up and take them one at a time, installing favourable governments through any means necessary. Even if he does not have some grand plan to take over this region, it would be unwise to ignore the possibility. During the British takeover of India, the British consistently did not have any ‘plan’ to take over the subcontinent. After their initial victory at Plassey, they found themselves in charge of Bengal. Realising this, and realising how vulnerable the rest of India was to a potential takeover, they proceeded to annex and destroy different states there as the situation evolved, despite their own government frequently trying to stop them doing so. The point is, many conquests evolve from a single moment which can in turn spin off into more, crucial moments as the conqueror realises that opportunities exist. Few empire’s have some ‘master plan’ for conquest. They just are.  

All this may sound ridiculously extreme, but the world has had a way of being unpredictable the last generation. Who predicted Covid or 9/11?  

Bringing all this back to Ukraine, one can see this in China’s downright ridiculously hypocritical statement that (Paraphrase) ‘they don’t believe in sanctions’ – despite the fact that China has actually used just such unilateral sanctions against Australia, and threatened such against many other nations as its power has grown.

  4: Sanctions

Sanctions are unlikely to do much damage in this author’s opinion. Vladimir Putin has carefully planned this war out, though admittedly the military part of that planning has been found wanting. Unfortunately – and bearing in mind my opening statement about how the economic centre of the world is shifting – most countries outside of Europe and the US have NOT imposed sanctions on Russia, including the bulk of Asian countries such as Pakistan, India, and of course, China. Crucially, in the leadup to the Russian invasion, a treaty was announced between Putin and Xi Jingping, the leader of China. This promise a ‘new era’ in the global order. The treaty itself involved new trade links between the two, somewhat cushioning Russia from the sanctions in a Molotov-Ribbentrop moment like the Nazi-Soviet division of Poland just prior to the beginning of WW2. In this Author’s opinion, it is conceivable this new treaty, much like the said pact, has secret clauses we may not be privy to, though we will have to wait and see on this issue.

The bottom line is that anyone who still thinks Russia is economically ‘isolated’ is just plain kidding themselves.

                            5: Ukraine itself

We have all watched the Ukrainian’s resistance against what many analysts were expecting would be an easy ‘walkover’ battle. And it is easy to get swept along with the amazing patriotism  and bravery the Ukrainian people have demonstrated. But as of this date, it is still probable this may change. The Russians (who have only committed 50% of their available forces in this theatre), commit their reserves, bring up heavy artillery including the much-feared TOS-1 thermobaric weapons, and commit Chechen fighters (who have a dire human rights record and are frequently used as a weapon of fear). Indeed, such a scenario played out in the second siege of Grozny some 20 years ago when the city was essentially destroyed, and in Aleppo. Yet Kiev has a vastly larger population and significantly larger defence forces. Interestingly, the TASS news agency (one of the Russian state organ’s spewstreams), has suggested that Ukraine’s main forces in Donetsk and Lugansk have been ‘surrounded’ and this will eliminate some of their best forces, freeing up many more Russian troops to overrun the rest of the country. Indeed, they have stuck to the eerie talk of ‘political reforms’ that has led most to conclude this is still a takeover bid in one form or another. One Indian general has suggested that Kiev will likely fall no matter what, likely with immense loss of civilian life, and this author is in concurrence with this view. As brave and awe-inspiring as Ukraine’s president has been in his resistance, we need to look at the long-term possibility of assymetric warfare, and guerilla resistance, with most of Ukraine’s government being brought out of the way of harm – The Russians possibly intend to shatter part of Ukraine’s infrastructure, then leave, though it is hard to see what this will achieve in the long term now that the west is dead set on rearming this country. Either way this will not be a short conflict. And on a strategic level, as irresponsible and horrific as this is for the Ukrainian people. One needs to bear this in mind when drawing up plans for weapons shipments and keep an eye on how this effects Russia, as well as that countries ability to continue assymetric conflicts as in Afghanistan.

                    6: Regional powers and irredentism

Many regional powers have also seized the opportunity to live on their irredentist dreams. For instance, Turkey’s psychopathic president, Tayyib Reccip Erdogan, who is a supposed NATO member and ally, has been going lone ranger for years. He has threatened Greece and multiple other states with military action in the name of rebuilding the old Ottoman Caliphate, not entirely differently from ISIS did back in Syria/Iraq. He has a large, powerful and growing military including its much-feared TB drones. Turkey took advantage of divisions within western powers, such as Germany’s extraordinarily milqetoast response, as well as the unbelievably slow, bureaucratic response within the EU system before the French Prime minister Macron, much to his credit, stood in for the Greeks and showed leadership against Turkey (and the declining, but still significant) threat of Islamism where other European leaders shamefully did not.  In the Caucuscus, Armenia was basically thrown under a bus by Germany and others against open Azerbaijani and Turkish aggression. Russia was betting on the same situation in Ukraine, but fortunately it would appear that this has not occurred. In this author’s estimation, it is entirely possible that Erdogan, the aggressive, borderline psychopathic leader of Turkey, who is currently beset by an economic crisis and essentially playing both sides in the Ukraine conflict, is entirely likely to simply rip up his NATO membership and ally with the new Russo-China Axis then go on his own imperial bender as diversion for the fact that he isn’t actually that good a domestic leader. One should not ignore many other nations stated nightmrish desires: North Korea, Burma, to some degree Iran, and several others are eyeing this situation.

As in many of these situations, the Turks seek to retake lands lost during the decline of their empire and the rise of Western states, and also divert attention from these countries rising democratic movements. Yet, whatever about past infamies, the harsh reality is that the current occupants of the Greek islands want to stay, democratically, with Greece, and have little interest in being a part of a mono-religious state that has a track record of discriminating against and at times ethnically cleansing minority groups, as well as its totalitarian leader.  This is the principle that applies to many of these situations: So many western imperial powers, in the past, carried out brutal slaughters that form the basis of the modern world, and it is fair to say that the current ‘rules-based’ systems put in place by the US and others have not been entirely fair to everyone, especially in terms of trade flows or territorial boundaries. None of that justifies invasions, ethnic cleansing or destruction in reverse in the name of redressing some grand balance in the present. The bottom line is that the world has changed, and the current inhabitants of these regions don’t want to ‘go back’ to some ancient balance.  

7: Conclusion

All of this must seem dreadfully nihilistic. However I feel that we should not ignore realities nor bury our heads in the sand with regard to the intentions of Xi, Putin, or anybody else. They are not our friends. And their power is increasing whilst ours is not. And we will be facing an era in which the West’s options or ability to stop the expansion of these other powers will be limited.  

 The fact remains that if China, Russia, and other nations decided to test the west’s resolve, say during a US general election, this might be too much for the west to deal with, especially if it were divided. All that Russia or China need do is wait till the next US presidential election cycle (Which, in an astounding systemic weakness, hobbles and weakens their international response to things ranging like the Turkish aggression in 2020).

The Baltic states are obviously quite vulnerable to Russian invasion, with the crucial, narrow Suwalki corridor between Kaliningrad and Byelorussia an easy target, while Moldova (also geographically vulnerable and with its own Russian-speaking minority plus Russian base) is another, along with Georgia. It is easy to state that NATO and the nuclear umbrella it provides may deter Russian expansionism, but in this author’s view this should never be taken as a given. The bottom line is that Russia and China see the West as morally corrupt, politically divided and weak – and they just might have a point.  They are likely to continue testing its resolve.

However there are many things that can still be done, such as increasing our countries military budgets, massively reforming our economic infrastructures to be more competitive  as Joe Biden attempted to do last year, and of course supplying Ukraine with vast amounts of weapons, especially asyymetric weapons, though in this situation it is possible the Russians may simply destroy the infrastructure of this country and leave. Getting the balance between unnecessary capitulation as in Czechoslovakia and unnecessary aggression as in 1914 or Iraq 2003 has haunted policy makers, and should be something we need to get right at all costs. A misstep could lead to a nuclear holocaust. Yet any unnecessary copping-outs could lead to the destruction of hundreds of millions of people’s freedom, and a new world order that I think few people really want to live under.

The west needs to A: solve its internal problems, quickly, reform the US electoral system and solve the continuing issues of identity and terminal left-right conflicts which have beset it and unbalanced it the past decade. B: Come up with a unified and extremely firm strategy worldwide, with no equivocation as with Germany and Italy (who have recently U-turned in fairness) this will just be the start. There is still much to hope for: India’s place in this new world may be significant, and there are many potential allies worldwide, with their own growing economies that will serve as bulwarks against the aggressive expansion of China and Russia.

While I was in Ukraine, I bought and purchased two model plastic cows which I keep on my mantelpiece, staring at one another. Bringing the left and right back together in the West is important. If they cannot compromise and devise a unified strategy, our fate is sealed. Freedom and the package of rights which come with it should never be taken for granted. Yet Ukraine’s resistance shows there is life in us yet.

That is my final word: good luck to the people of Kiev, to the people of Ukraine and so many others who have gained and lived in freedom.

                 Slava, Ronan Stewart.

18.00, 28/02/2022.


Early Islam and Women’s rights

‘1,300 years ago Islam gave women their rights!’ Every time the issue of women’s rights is brought up in the Middle East, this phrase usually appears. This is important because history forms a big part of gender debates going on there now. So did Islam bring a revolution in women’s rights? Or was it horribly oppressive as others claim?

The answer seems complex.

It was certainly better than its contemporaries in medieval continental Europe. Women scholars like Fatima al-Fihrihelped start the world’s oldest continually operating university in Quaraouiyine in Morocco in 859 CE. Aisha bint Abu Bakr, wife of the Prophet Muhammad, transmitted many Hadith, while others openly participated in battle. But was this new? Previously, Roman republican law and contemporary Irish Brehon law granted most of the same rights to property and divorce as Muslim women had.

Issues like FGM, slavery, and punishing women in relationships with men outside the community do find limited justification in interpretations of Islamic scripture and history, not unlike Christian tradition, and still have substantial support from some modern Fiqh (Islamic law) scholars.

So what use is this to gender debates now?  Even if things were better historically, that is no excuse for present failings. Most Islamic legal texts were written decades after the Prophet’s death, and are only a medieval interpretation of Islam, not something set in stone. It can be reinterpreted as human’s self-knowledge improves. The educated, inquiring, driven Muslim youth have every prospect of doing just that.


Author, Ronan Stewart, is a participant in this year’s Ideas Collective. Ronan’s project aims to challenge myths and stereotypes about Islam that drive conflict through an online magazine and workshop series. He hopes to work with other organisations to combat these myths in a balanced and informed way. 

Through the Ideas Collective, we support people who want to take action on the issues they care about. By doing this, we offer a creative and collaborative space, with like-minded people to harness the potential power of your idea! Find out more about the Ideas Collective here

In the shadow of Trumpxit

                                         Trumpxit: The way forward


So here we are. Brexit has split the one model we had which wasn’t about selfish Nationalism. And a man who is probably a narcissist is in the White house with a set of promises to set America and the world with it back with policies more divisive than any after 1945 with all the consequences that entails. And worse could be on its way – The EU is on the way to destruction, quite possibly, if not inevitably. Not to mention the gigantic extended pandemonium if the Middle east and rising issues in Japan, China and India. Its been a hell of a Trump win hangover. And Ireland is not immune to all this.

So I’ve made a decision.

We can choose to bury ourselves in the well of ‘OH DEAR GOD!’ We can vent, and get angry and fall into unbelievable despair at such a set of decisions voters made. I couldn’t blame anybody for feeling that way. Because so do I.

Most articles I have seen simply vent themselves in endless anger and despair at the contradictions and obvious stupidities behind this campaign and its ultimate outcome, emblem of the rising nationalism which is stalking our world. For many, it seems like up is down and black is white.

But I’m afraid I’m going to have to go a different route with this one. Now I’m going to make no friends with this article. But sadly these things must be said. There have been reasons why we have failed to curb the slow return to Nationalism we are all seeing.

Those who opposed the Nationalists (myself included) took the easy way out. We shamed people for supporting Trump. And to a lesser extent, Brexit. Taking the lazy, easy way of sarcasm, parody and satire, rather than convincing or at least engaging people both emotionally and intellectually that their way was the best way for humanity, or at least not some polar opposite which had to be opposed at all costs. However these tactics don’t work – shaming somebody does not work, no matter how worthy we may feel they are of this. Niccolo Machiavelli argued that robbing a person of their honour was one route toward rebellion.

Let me explain. In a way, the tactics of Trump/Radical Islamists/Brexiteers and more liberal or centrist groups in our society share one thing: They vent their anger more and more in a downward circle of mutual animosities and personal grudges increased to violent proportions. Rather than truly explaining their arguments, both sides have occupied such a different mental world that the same exact statements can mean something completely different to two separate people.

Now none of this is to ignore the very real attempts that have been made by the centre-left to be more inclusive. But they’re not getting their message across.

We have to examine a whole new set of soundbytes. A vastly more inclusive rhetoric.

Obviously I can smugly say that the showmanship, soundbytes, and nonsense behind every four-year circus known as an election is a problem. In an election where the best weapon people could think of with Trump was to dredge up a 12-year-old video of him having a personal conversation (however onerous), doesn’t this tell us that the political system itself has some problems? Is the spectre of Bob Geldof and Nigel Farage battering each other with loudspeakers on the Thames not telling us that standards have slipped?

The sheer bipolar ignorance of Trump’s electorate to the basic human impact (ranging from trauma to long-term PTSD ) of slut-shaming or banning Gay marriage to the basic impact his anti-global warming,  pro-oil policies will have boils my blood. Every time I’ve heard ISIS justify sex slavery, (I’m not comparing the two, but they are part of the same world trend) every time I’ve heard Trump talk about ‘Nasty women,’ every time I’ve heard Farage going on about ‘breaking points’ whilst ignoring the fact that Britain’s elites and employers are the ones who have failed the British public and are merely using divide-and-rule tactics reminiscent of the Union and the Raj– not immigrants, or whatever else, and every time the older generation use the ‘challenging the establishment’ language of the 1960s for a return to the 1930s over the futures of their children makes me seethe with rage. But unfortunately, we don’t have a choice. We have to go back into the reasons behind which we hold these ideals – we have to Re-explain why LGBT marriage, Women’s rights and etc. is a pro for society, as frustrating as this is. Because we really don’t have a choice.

Delivering a message badly, however correct the message is, is still not a very efficient persuasive mechanism. On an emotional level, few white men will be convinced by venting  arguments like ‘Trumps a scumbag woman hater and anyone who supports him represents a hard core of white males who have been forced to share power for once in their relatively privileged lives.’ These arguments may well have a good deal of merit to them. But they are obviously not convincing the voters. And they tend to lump people into one group, which is not always fair. People’s specific concerns about issues ranging from women’s rights to racial integration etc. are usually on a spectrum, with views often quite diverse from issue to issue. just because people might support one or two aspects of Trump’s policies does not mean they supported them all. Yet as a general rule, many of the forces who were behind Hillary ranging used responsive language which only contributed to this bipolarity. Saying someone is ‘Islamophobic’ with one breath then saying ‘lets come together’ without systematically dealing with people’s underlying grievances -many of which may only really be one or two issues, but not ‘against’ women’s rights or the Islamic faith per se –  is not going to convince anybody.

Bear in mind that quite a few women – a majority of white women – and at least some Latinos voted for Trump, despite the shaming tactics used by the Democrats. Not everybody shares the same vision of the sexes or of racial integration Hillary Clinton does. Many simply used the vaunted guerilla voting tactics.

I remember reading one article in the leadup to the election about the men who have been ‘left behind.’ Males who see themselves as Alphas (no matter how problematic the term/concept is) are not going to be convinced by patronising arguments that put them in such a corner. Many of the less educated will vote or take action more as a subconsciously inspired ‘Fuck the left’ protest rather than anything systematically or objectively thought out. Most don’t have time to do anything else.

As with Trump, basic questions like ‘Well, shouldn’t men or whatever group have a forum where they can discuss their innermost thoughts without being judged for it?’ have not really been answered. I want to emphasise this is not a Trojan horse for all those attitudes which can often be associated with and may well lead to any number of crimes against women including rape, domestic violence and wider problems like job discrimination, etc. But political and social-sexual realities are what they are. Getting the attitudes out in the open and slowly working through Which ones and Why they are destructive is probably going to be a hell of a lot more helpful than simply lambasting random individuals every time they come out with something.  Obviously, education can slowly work to change the truly harmful attitudes, but shaming people who hold on to specific attitudes (rather than actions) helps nobody and contributes nothing except a feedback loop of more anger and frustration.

The pro-Europe campaign was lethargic at best, and used the same negative tactics the other side used. But they offered little hope and a lot of responsive, retrogressive thinking rather than anything inspirational-we all know this of course. They fought with a pig, got dirty and lost. They often dismissed their concerns as ‘Racist’ as ‘Economic madness,’ etc. So the other side, naturally, responded by hanging on even closer to their views, however unreasonable they sometimes were. The liberals so often took the lazy, easy way out rather than sitting down and talking with them or speaking to their specific concerns quietly and calmly.

And the harsh reality is this: not all right-wingers concerns (gulp!) are irrelevant or intellectually unsupportable. Some – probably most – may well be. Some, possibly most are manufactured through the media, rumour food-chains and simple regurgitated prejudice which takes on new forms, or they are disproportional, taken (often wildly) out of context, or they are a response to changing social circumstances, or perceived changes. But ignoring them, or using sarcasm, however good it may feel for one audience, rarely wins anybody in the other audience over. It causes more polarisation.

Democracy is not about one group consistently outvoting another group and then expecting them and their concerns to conveniently just go away. As lecturing as this sounds, it ideally should lead to a consensus being built as time goes by. But increasingly, we see elections and referendums about victory or defeat.

To make things worse, so many of the issues which people argue about are very poorly understood. And yes, I include myself in that category. Coupled with that, as I’ve said, there were many people who were concerned with specific issues rather than necessarily being concerned with everything to do with that issue.

Take the Cologne attacks, which have been a banner for many Right-wingers about Muslim populations entering Europe: ‘Look what they’re doing to our women! It’s the tanned/Black man at it again with his insatiable primal lusts! (c. 1885 Victorian racism, thankyou!)’ Immediately this was responded with by cries of ‘Islamophobia!’ while Al Jazeera spent more time talking about the potential impact on refugees than anything else. Far fewer people on either side cared about the victims of these assaults. Few people actually cared about engaging with the other sides concerns in a balanced, academic or intellectual way. Nobody wanted to take criticism maturely, because it would damage their sense of identity. And everybody was instantly polarised, or seen to be on polar opposites of this debate if they showed any concern as to these attacks, whether they noted the effects on the victims or the potential backwash on Migrants. So what I’m about to say is not about taking one side or another. Its about getting to some establishable facts and coming up with some proactive solution to a specific issue which can justifiably be seen as a problem but shouldn’t be seen as a extendable to a whole population or as an excuse for bigotry.

Is there serious problems with women being groped/molested in all societies? Yes. Does it seem to be an especial problem in Islamic societies? Possibly – statistics appear to indicate it is pretty prevalent in Egypt, and everything I saw when I visited there indicated the same thing. And I must say everything I’ve researched on Al Azhar, or Islamists ranging from Zakir Naik to Yusuf al Qaradawi (I call him Yusuf Q) as well as many media forms in Egypt and elsewhere indicates a pretty permissive environment where many religious and social institutions look the other way. (Not ignoring obvious culturally similar bodies and attitudes in the West.) But is there an actual causal link between that and what happened on New Years night? We’ve all heard of the rape/grope game ‘Taharrush’ by now, but nobody seemed bothered examining those underlying issues or devising systematic social stats on how Muslim men – Economic immigrants or refugees, the latter of which were not mostly responsible for Cologne – integrate into western cultures and to what extent they respect local sexual norms. People are throwing polarising accusations around, but with not a lot of data to back up either sides arguments, leaving the public with a mass of dimly understood social trends in a time of upheaval or at least perceived upheaval, where tough decisions need to be made. The dark night of lack of information is where negativity and ultimately violence thrives. Any findings, no matter how onerous, would not convince me we should shut our doors forever to Muslim immigration and, separately, refugees. It might not change people’s stance either. But they might at least lead to a more nuanced discussion where everybodies concerns are discussed and hopefully dealt with.  (Incidently, I think this combined with Trump should be a wakeup call to the attitudes which underly rape and grope cultures wherever they come from – and we can’t single any group out on this one. Obviously the vaunted Educational programmes with basics like respect and consent can help – but not ones which cause males to feel ashamed about their sexuality or in other cases their culture either.)

Another way of discussing this could be to admit that certain cultures probably do have proportionally worse problems than others (the data doesn’t necessarily back this up on this matter so far, just stating it as one possibility). For instance, one doesn’t need Einsteinian insights to realise that Ireland has a serious problem with alcoholism. As a man who likes a good pint myself (serious weakness for the wheat beers here) I think this is something I can admit to as a special cultural problem we have. So perhaps Islamophobia or groping are special cultural problems here as well. Those issues of course cannot be hijacked by one side or another to demonise anybody.

I personally think that analysing the emotional bonds, the very core of people’s feeling responses to some arguments is one way of doing this. Obviously Hillary’s advisors will have examined this in great detail. But its also clear they failed. Hillary, the ‘Stay’ campaign, etc, failed to connect with voters. Secularists and other centrists (be they Islamists or no) have evidently failed to stop violence breaking out – granted, a different set of circumstances, but I don’t think they were that different. Both Hillary and the Middle Eastern secularists (legacy of revolutions long past relevance) were using clearly outdated methods which failed to connect with the wider populace.

Emotion, empathy, and above all patience is key. Coupled with a relentless search for the facts as backed up by systematic, balanced research. Let’s hope that this current wave of 1930s-style nationalism, of Salafism, of basic human Otherism subsides. And whether it does or does not. Lets learn the right lessons from this debacle – before something is done we cannot fix.

Brexit: the price of the Nation

Brexit is looking likely. A great institution founded on hope for a better tomorrow is foundering. But it just needed time to improve.

To begin, the old argument for the EU may be tired, but it is still true: Nationalism is bad for the species. The 20th century gave us Two World Wars. Wars which saw men made beasts as they scrabbled, bloodied or gased or both over muddy fields and clawed over razor wire to bayonet enemies they had never met who more likely than not would shoot them before they got anywhere near doing so. Wars which saw the slaughter of innocent men, women and children in dirty gas chambers to be harvested into fertiliser. There is the illusion that if the EU breaks apart that somehow Europe will not return to its former state of neo-barbarism. I think this is wishful thinking. We face many pressures – the great implosion of the Islamic resurgence, which sees no sign of abating, resurgent Russian nationalism, and of course, the grand rise of right-wing individuals like Donald Trump in the US, and a variety of dubious right-wing parties across the EU, to say nothing of India with its new BJP Hindu-power government and Pakistan, and potential conflict further afield between China, Japan, and the Koreas. This is not the time for disunity.

The idea of renewed national conflict in Europe, or world instability to the point of nuclear conflict may seem ridiculous. But ridiculous, unthinkable things have happened many times to figures in world history who assumed the status quo was always going to remain. For instance, think about the four years of trench warfare in the First World War. This had previously been unthinkable to a generation who had grown up in the shadow of 19th-century diplomacy and rapid infantry warfare, (after all, most 19th century wars had been relatively brief and localised, like the Crimean wars, the Italian war of independence, etc.) hence the ‘over-by-Christmas’ myth. A single assassination, of Archduke Franz Ferdinand upturned all that. Witness 9-11. Only a few minor individuals whom nobody had heard of, with minimal funding, were able to penetrate the US defensive net and play havoc. Is it so far-fetched to believe that if a single leader got to relatively unrestricted power in just a single country in the right ideological or international environment (North Korea, quite possibly Pakistan), circumvented whatever controls were in place and decided to carry out his own messianic goals, he (lets face it, it will probably be a he) could play havoc and set a chain of events that would end only in skullheaps and charred cities?

In a nuclear world, nationalism is not something the species can afford. Obviously old issues like Germany V. France are unlikely to reoccur. But nationalisms have a way of generating new conflicts that never existed before. Look at the rise of German nationalism itself: this was a relatively new problem in 1871. Its victory over the French in that year created an ongoing feud with France, in this case over Alsace-Lorraine and more general national pride (read self-image and ego) which only concluded with a 50 million bodycount.

Given the right environment, like in today’s Middle East, these problems can simmer for years, even decades, but then boil over unexpectedly, like the Arab spring or, again, 1914.

A world with 200 nation states (many of which like Pakistan and India are diametrically opposed to one another) and an increasing number of Nuclear weapons (or at least an increasing number of states which possess these glorified suicide boxes) is not a world where Nuclear war may happen. It will happen. It is merely a matter of time and unlucky combinations of circumstances. Time and again, from the Cuban missile crisis to the more recent Kargil war between India and Pakistan, Nuclear war has been at times narrowly dodged. But this cannot go on forever. It is only a matter of time until a chain of events comes along which causes the rise of the bomb.

The only way to lessen and eliminate this threat is by submerging our feelings of ‘otherism.’ And the best way to do this is by creating institutions like the EU which regard us all, at least theoretically, as equals, no matter our race, religion, ideology, gender, sexual orientation, etc. The EU is a safety break on nationalism – a damper on the darker devils in our nature. That exclusivist ‘us-versus-them’ idea which always boils beneath the surface of any human interaction, anywhere, anytime, from sex, to religion, to politics, to race, to geography to any unnumerable combination of these factors, and many, too many to count.

If Britain votes to leave, then at worst case scenario that may mean one sad, bitter thing – we could not live together. The EU couldn’t allay Britain’s fears about mass immigration, or about being overwrought. And Britain just wasn’t willing to cooperate. The idea that we as a species – as a race – could live together, has failed. This leaves us with the option of going back to the old 1940s model of the nation station, perennially unstable, perennially on the edge of an abyss of barbarism.

For years the British media has covered the EU with relentlessly negative and at times utterly unreasonable viciousness. And that coverage is becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy. Is the idea of cooperating with neighbours so utterly abhorrent that there can be no future except as divorced, mutually acrimonious nations, with no hope of unity? Rhetorics of hatred – against immigrants, minorities (homosexuals, different racial/religious groups, whatever) can start leading people into making decisions, rather than just being used by politicians or elites for their own ends or as diversionary tactics for larger social problems, as in Britain. In many cases, many of the issues British people were concerned about were not ‘make-or-break.’ But as time went on the public rhetoric deployed amidst an increasingly nationalistic environment has made many people vote leave, when in reality they never wanted that originally.

There is one thing all can agree on: Britain’s time in the sun has faded. It is a great country, which continues to punch above its weight in areas as diverse as technology to reality TV. But its power is soft, not military. All those advantages which marked Britain off as a one-eyed chicklet in the blind’s kingdom ranging from its legal system, to the industrial revolution are being either copied or overrawed: India and China now both have relentlessly growing economies which make them able to overaw basically smaller countries. Whatever long-term future Britain has on its own, it is hard to see it as being anything but a return to its pre-1492 levels of power: a limited power of some note, but nothing special, much like Portugal and Spain. All this ignores the obvious room-elephant that Britain’s economy will take a savage hit should it leave the European Union, one its already pressured people (especially younger people, who are being systematically screwed out of wages and jobs by the older generation of Britons) can ill-afford.

In the meantime, a disunited Europe will only encourage those very undemocratic, ideologically-driven, violent forces in the world we fear, ranging from Salafi Saudi-sponsored Islamists to Russian Nationalists to keep pushing. Imagining that Britain will somehow be ‘safe’ in a networked, modern world linked together by modern transportation and mass communication outside of the EU is untrue.

Brexit could very well spawn additional chain-of-events problems which would be unthinkable right now. When it comes down to it, a big war like the Second World War could only pose a small threat to species survival. That is not the case anymore. The spectre of cities wrecked, civilisations destroyed may seem utterly fanciful – if you take the short view and ignore historical precedents, like the breakup of the (mostly ineffectual) League of Nations which helped presage the start of World War 2.

At days end, Nation states are imaginary constructs. They are a complex concatenation of coalescent culture, imagined family ties (for instance the grand-motherly figure of the queen and the rest of the royal family, – around which a vast merchandising industry has grown, or the constant presentation of the Obama family) and media. They are also the result of bureaucracies expanding from premodern kingdoms that conquered areas which often had no real commonalities previously, education into the idea of ‘we’re all one against outsiders’ which helped wed these areas to a common myth and simple geography. Nationalism is the ultimate expression of our sense of the ‘other,’ no matter how many social, political, economic, or legal structures are grown around it. It was originally all about war between one group of people and another. And simply shedding this basic function has never happened.

No matter how hard it is to hear, no matter how much people love their nations, their culture and customs, their people and places, this is not something we should be motivated to die for. Britain is not a ‘natural’ thing any more so than the EU is.  A ‘British’ government has no necessary motivation to do what is right for its people any more so than the EU might. And love of country is no excuse for hate of an Other.

‘Britain’ has only come about through the efforts of centralising kings and governments over the 1200 years – small in the 140,000-200,000 years of Human history.  Britain is no more eternal than any other nation state is, and it will one day fade to being forgotten, just as all other nations (my home nation of Ireland included) and religions (Thor worship anyone?) will.

When we feel that resources are scarce or that our sense of identity is under threat, we tend to lock ranks with whomever we feel is the most familiar, most trustworthy group we can reach out to. The recession has helped cause this, as have lowering wages and the general pressures on the middle classes (perceived or otherwise) across the Western world. So has a widespread mistrust of authority figures around the West.

As an Irish citizen, I can honestly say that I have usually had just as much in common with or far more so than a person of the same social background from Germany, the Netherlands, the USA or Canada than I would have with, say, a farmer out in rural Cavan. The lives of people across the continent are growing more similar, not more diverse. Even accepting that we have cultural differences, the fact is that ‘Britain’ has had constant cultural contact with the continent through trade, people moving back and forth, and now the media.

I have never quite understood the argument that ‘We should look after our own first.’ What does that mean? Do others simply have less value as human beings than ‘Our own?’ What do ‘British values’ mean exactly anyway, and how are they different from Europe’s?

As an Irishman, I love my country. I love the land most of all. I love the trees, mountains and streams, the lash of the waves against its shores and the wind as it clears the heather. I am proud of institutions like secular democracy, hewn together over generations uncounted and setbacks, blood and wars endured and compromises reached. But none of this gives us a right to an army. Love of one’s country is not an excuse for hatred of an Other. No matter how much one disagree with their viewpoints.

England itself has a long history of devising social institutions which were revolutionary for its time – a parliament independent of the absolute monarchy for instance, the first step in the slow march to democracy and miles ahead of most of the other ramshackle ‘divine right’ cowboy notions floating around Europe at the time. But these institutions took time. Britain had to fight a savage civil war which ended in the King minus a head before parliament finally stood supreme. Then it teetered near dictatorship under Cromwell, thereafter the monarchy was restored for a while (under the famous Dutch ruler William of Orange – proof positive that Britain has had foreign oversight and influence before), with the parliament gradually gaining more power as the 18th century teetered on. Then into the 19th century more power was given to wider sections of the populace till ultimately modern democracy took hold in the 20th. So it was hardly a straight line of improvement. It took a lot of trial and error – much worse than anything that has happened in the EU’s history, no matter the apocalyptic media-driver doom and gloom.

The EU was to be a new model – on which other groups such as ASEAN were to be based. Ultimately, it is a prototype on which unity of the human race is possible. It is one of the very few political organisations between states based on mutual agreement. It isn’t a tributary arrangement. It is not a state hammered together by brute force, marriage at the sword, plantations, supposed treaties giving some outsider land when he/she has no such right, aggrandizement masquerading as religion, supposed ‘civilizing,’ ‘True faith’ or ‘democratizing’ missions, blood massacres or threat of same. It is neither an Empire, a Caliphate nor Kingdom, with monuments wrapped in models of captured enemy cannon, spears or skulls. It is the accumulated political knowledge of our species that wars don’t work. It is a model of cooperation, of resolving our differences peacefully. Of a democratic and humanistic, altruistic way of looking at the other. Also it is a new model, one relatively untried before, just like British parliamentary democracy was. And because of this, naturally, it has its flaws. Flaws which need to be rectified, granted. And it does have an image problem. But given time, these can be resolved. And we can look forward to a brighter, more peaceful future, where cooperation and compromise are the ways that conflicts are resolved and wars between nations may one day in the far hopeful future long past our grandchildren’s generation may become a past thing.

There may come a bitter time when sacrificing a bit of independence for future survival may have seemed the saner choice, for Britain, Europe and the World.

‘Mad and mischievous’: the 1916 rising in the minutes from the township archives

Please find enclosed the link to the 1916 project, entitled ‘Mad and mischievous: the 1916 rising in the minutes from the former township archives.’
Many thanks to the team out in Dun Laoghaire Rathdown county council for making this possible.

Please find my piece below, enjoy!:

Mad and Mischievous: The 1916 rising in the Minutes from the Township archives

These are an online selection of minutes (abbreviated recordings of meetings) from the different local government bodies in the Dun Laoghaire Rathdown area in 1916. They included the Blackrock urban district Council, the Dalkey urban district Council, the Killiney and Ballybrack urban district Council and the Kingstown Urban district Council (now Dun Laoghaire). Prior to the rising, the Urban district councils fulfilled many of the same functions as Dun Laoghaire Rathdown County Council do today. They dealt with water supplies, sanitation, school attendance, libraries, construction, finances, pensions, as well as the relatively new electric lighting which was being installed across the district. 1
Major concerns included Belgian refugees fleeing the First World War, and especially which ‘class’ of refugee would be housed in the upper-class areas in these minutes.2 They also dealt with legal issues, with the Blackrock councillors avoiding litigation from the local gas company by agreeing to pay a certain rate per annum for 2,000 hours lighting and maintenance for a minimum number of 250 lamps.3 Other issues included requests for the local boys school to play in the People’s park, Dun Laoghaire4, reports about water consumption,5 local housing,6 and so on. The setting of the poor rates (taxes for relieving the deprived) and the urban rates was very important, as well as payments to various groups including Teachers with records meticulously kept and published.7 Other issues included an offensive smell near Booterstown railway station and William Butler the park keeper applying for leave on account of a scalded foot.8
The fact that there were serious issues of social deprivation in these areas is often ignored in the minutes. There was a letter from the under-secretary about children engaged in street trading under the employment of children act 1903. In Killiney they argued that the act was not enforceable in the area, whilst in Dalkey it was stated ‘there were no children employed in street trading in the district’ which seems grounded more in wishful thinking than reality.9

Politics and the leadup to the rising

The Councillors were seriously involved in the big issues of the time. Blackrock County Council for instance read out a letter endorsing a speech by the nationalist Sir John Redmond of the Irish Parliamentary Party about the passage of the Home Rule bill. This legislation gave Ireland the right to self-government (but not independence as the 1916 leaders wanted) once the war with Germany was over. 10
Blackrock was at this time dominated by the Home rule party. The latest elections had been held on 25th January 1916. A Councillor JP McCabe was nominated as Chairman having narrowly beaten off several other contenders.11
The unionists in the Blackrock councillors were led by the redoubtable Lady Dockrell. Margaret Dockrell was also a powerful anti-war activist, and was unusual for the time in being a woman engaged in politics.12 In this period, the nationalists were consistently able to outvote the unionists in Blackrock, yet Dockrell was still able to voice constant opposition to McCabe at almost every turn.13
The most important issue facing all these local bodies was the war. By 1916, the First World War had been grinding on for two years, and it is clear that this was a society under stress.
There were serious personnel shortages, while the Blackrock councillors arranged the issue of ‘certificates of honour’ to people who had served on the front lines. It should not be forgotten that in 1914-1916 many Irishmen were fighting in the British army, often to serve the interests of Home rule.14 There was the grim task of sending out condolences to the loved ones lost in the fighting.15 One such vote of condolence was issued to the Town clerk of Dalkey town Council, who was probably the very man writing the minutes, who had lost his brother in France.16
In the lead up to the rising, there was clearly a good deal of tension, at least in Blackrock. There was disgust at the appointment of a Mr. JH Cambell, a unionist, as attorney general for Ireland over the head of Mr. James O’Conner. This was regarded as ‘perpetuating the worst days of Tory ascendency.’ They believed this attempt ’must be met by active organisation on the part of nationalists…’17
A few weeks before the rising, one Judge Kinny had been saying from the bench that Dublin was ‘seething with sedition’. The Blackrock councillors resolved ‘this council would like to learn from Judge Kinny where and when he denounced the sedition which was openly preached in the north of Ireland by Mr. James Campbell MP.’ They later tried to delete this passage after Kinny was proven correct by the rising, but the chairman refused.18

The rising

When the rising occurred, the effects seem to have been mixed. No mention was made of the rising in any of the council’s minute books initially. It is likely this was because the councillors (many of whom were unionists) were simply unsure about the outcome of the rising and did not know about the consequences if they took a stand.19 British troops landed in Dun Laoghaire and proceeded down the road through Blackrock to the battle of Mount street bridge, but none of this is mentioned. The Blackrock councillor’s chambers were used as a post office, presumably thanks to the disruption caused by the General post office/GPO by the rebels.20
In the Kingstown minutes, there is two pages left mysteriously blank, followed by the special meeting of 28th April.21 The councillors urgently requested the newly arrived general Sir John Maxwell to send on food and supplies to the local traders. They thanked a Mr. A.V. Urborwick, one of the s, for his help in placing the ‘S.S. Dun Leary’ at the councillor’s disposal so they could ship food from Liverpool.22
Only 5 councillors turned up for this meeting, and a similar pattern was repeated in Blackrock, where martial law played havoc with their schedule, though by the 8th May most councillors were back at their posts.23 The Dalkey and Killiney/Ballybrack councils seem to have been less disrupted by the rising, with meetings taking place on the 26th and 27th respectively.24
By 29th April, the rising had been crushed, but it would be weeks or months before things returned to normality, which would be crucial in a change in public opinion about Ireland’s place in the British empire.

A change in opinion?

On 8th May 1916, the nationalist Blackrock councillors made a statement ‘The Blackrock urban district Council desire to express our heartfelt reprobation of the mad and mischievous revolt which has taken place in our midst, and which has unfortunately caused it much loss of life and such disaster and destruction to our beautiful city, and which has imperilled the best prospects of our country.‘ They supported the nationalist John Redmond, who was largely against the rising.25
5 individuals voted for the resolution including the Chairman Mccabe, with Lady Dockrell and three others voting against it, (presumably because of the endorsement of their political rival Redmond) while Councillors JP Sexton and Garvey abstained, and Councillor Foy left the meeting. All this suggests there was serious debate going on about how to react to the rising and many were undecided.26
In Dun Laoghaire it was only on the 1st June that they finally issued a statement condemning the rising.27 It reads: ‘…this council deplores the awful sacrifice of human life… To the relatives and friends of all who have been killed both civilians and soldiers during this dreadful time, this council tenders its most heartfelt sympathy and condolence, and prays that in this their time of sorrow and all may be comforted… to bear the cross with patience and resignation to Gods holy will.’ 28
They were roundly thanked for this by the Prime minister, General Sir John Maxwell (commander in chief of his majesties armed forces Ireland) the war office, while others wrote back to Mr. Vaughan the chairman thanking them and saying ‘We shall all pray that the horrors of Easter week may never be repeated.’29
Yet it is clear that the mood over in the Blackrock council at least changed in the next few weeks. Their language became more anti-British, thanks partly to the muddled Imperial response to the rising. At the same time that same muddled response was leading to a crucial change in public opinion about Ireland’s place in the empire in other parts of the country. The councillors were angered by the arrest and detention of local men by British forces after the rising. On the 27th May they put forward a motion demanding ‘an immediate examination of the evidence’ for the arrest of three men from Blackrock. Chairman McCabe was concerned about the ‘Hardships of innocent men’, and sent this request on to John C. Redmond.30 They later protested against continuance of martial law and ‘we call for its immediate withdrawal,’ despite strong opposition from Dockrell.31
On the 19th June McCabe proposed ‘we condemn the attempt to re-establish castle as a coercive regime in Ireland.’ There was another very close vote, which McCabe only just about won.32 There does not seem to have been anything like this shift outside Blackrock in the other councils. It is not known if McCabe represents a fundamental ground-level shift in public opinion in Blackrock along with the rest of Ireland. It must be stated that Dockrell’s unionists ultimately regained control of Blackrock around war’s end, so things were clearly in flux.33


The minutes do not tell us anything we don’t already know. But they confirm what we do, and they give us a ground-level insight into the effects of these tumultuous days on the people and on the local government of the time, which after all, kept the country functioning. They leave us with many tantalising questions: What did individuals think about the rising? How does this all fit into the larger happenings of 1916? And when did they start changing their minds about Ireland’s place in the Empire? All this needs further research.


BUDC / Blackrock Urban District Council minute book (16th September 1914- 5 December 1917, Dublin.)
Connaught Telegraph, 15 April 1916
Dalkey Urban District Council minute book, (4 November 1908-13th June 1924, Dublin.)
K&BUDC/ Killiney and Ballybrack Urban district Council minutes (21st October 1912 – 1st November 1922 Dublin)
KUDC/ Kingstown Urban District Council minute book, (9 April 1914 – 15th June 1917 Dublin)
The Anglo-Celt, 29 January, 1916, p. 9.
The Freemans Journal, 29 May 1916.
Yeates, Padraig, ‘the War against the war,’ Irish times 22 October 2014, , accessed 09/01/2016.

New Year’s Message To Westerners and Muslims

   We’ve had a bad year. From the endless war in Syria and Iraq to the horror of the Paris attacks, humanity would seem to be a nation at odds. So this is my word. Based on the whole torrid mess that is Islamic-Western relations I have one thing to say: please, please don’t get angry. No matter how many ghastly attacks we witness, no matter what horrific stories we hear, how many parents weep and how often the stories are told and retold via the media, I want you all to try one thing: hold the middle ground.

Terrorist attacks like these will happen again. And again. And the West will make mistakes, or at best decisions which will lead to far more Muslim deaths than any terrorist ever caused. Again and again most likely. This is not an easy reality for either Westerners or Muslims to face. It is one of the greatest tasks and constant banes any person or people may face to control ones anger, and respond in a proportional, constructive way, especially when one feels one has been wronged, time and again. But remember that as horrendous as Bataclan was, at the end of the day the actual threat from terrorism is minimal. A sense of perspective and proportion is essential.

So this is our societies’ challenge. The ultimate challenge of a pluralist, democratic society is incorporating many, many different ideas, even ones some may find repugnant, backwards, decadent, or alien. Of holding together when exceptions – and they are largely exceptions – like this occur. Pluralism does not mean selling out one’s own values. Nor does it mean simply handing power to somebody else. We cannot afford more failure in this system either in its internal policies or its international practices, for the consequences of our anger would be worse than what caused the anger in the first place.

The nightmare scenario is the savagery cycle continuing. The West gets lured into invading country after country without end, destroying the administration, government and bonds which hold these fragile states together, replacing them with nothing but anarchy which groups similar to Daesh will fill.

Our own countries would also be hurt by that outcome. It would result in a ceaseless cycle of ignorance begetting fear begetting hate begetting violence. Imagine societies that are simply ghettoes: communities based on crude identity, on people who only know themselves in opposition to somebody else. Northern Ireland is a mild example; Rwanda is the logical conclusion. The failure to peacefully handle the conflict with Islam now would lead to wider failures and to a precedent we know all too well: how many more social problems would have to be solved by ghettoisation? What of differing ethnicities, religions or sexual orientations? How many of these issues would have to be solved by the quick fix solutions of restrictive laws, like Europe in the 1930s? This is not a civilisation I would recognise, nor are they societies with values I would choose to hold. With millions of refugees on the move we must not allow the negativity in our natures to prevail. It is too late to disengage from the Middle East. While we have a very real responsibility, as westerners, for having created many of the problems which those in the East now face, from Sykes-picot to Iraq in 2003.

We must ask ourselves. As minorities from Yazidis to Christians huddle in their few remaining holdouts across the Middle East, as Sunnis find themselves caught between barrel bombs and beheading, as Shias find their very existence called into question. As Westerners with the cries of Bataclan in our ears we find ourselves caught at the same crossroads we faced in 2001; which was clearly not handled well. And we see the results of the overreaction to 9/11: countless families stranded in tents, people scared even to walk the streets of Europe’s largest capitals, and the slow destruction of the bonds that hold our multi-ethnic societies together. So we must ask ourselves:

Are we a compassionate society or not? Are we a loving people or not? Can we see the other as ourselves? Can we not see terrorist attacks in proportion to the wider conflicts in the Middle East, which we have partly created. In these times of tribulation our true values come out.

I know it is so very easy to let anger be our response to things which are so very threatening, so very damaging.

But no matter what happens, lets break the cycle. Hold the middle ground. Look to a future where this is just a distant memory. Let’s use this New Year to better ourselves. The year we ignore the voices seeking vengeance and look to the voices seeking answers, tough answers, to think outside our own civilisation and look at our own actions. Talking – informed and balanced, proportional and honest – is one way of doing this. Daesh will be defeated. But only a holistic solution will work long term. Violence and anger need not be the answer.

New Talk: Isis, the Caliphate and History


ISIS, the Caliphate, and History

Swords library, Monday 21st September, 6.30 PM.
ph: 018905894

Ronan Stewart, MA Cambridge

Black flag

    Massive changes sweep the Middle East as the group known as ISIS tries to resurrect an ancient empire, called the Caliphate. So what was the Caliphate? Where did it come from? And what effect does the idea of this ancient civilisation have on the present? This talk looks into the story of how the Caliphate rose to power in 632 CE/AD and separates fact from fiction. We will explore how good or bad the Caliphate actually was, some of the highs and lows of its 1300-year history, the  myths and reality of the Caliphate and how the concept of the Caliphate illustrates modern debates like women’s rights
and minorities in the Middle East.

Cartoons, Terrorist attacks and Criticism

Cartoons, Terrorist attacks, and Criticism

The Charlie Hebdo attacks shocked the world. Soon, we witnessed the spectacle of global leaders flocking to Paris amidst nationwide protests and mourning. And there were soon copycat attacks in Denmark and in a suburb of Dallas, Texas, which ISIS claims responsibility for. The old argument of free speech versus blasphemy is in full swing again as we argue over whether one can satirise religious figures like the Prophet Muhammad in cartoons or not. But now we have allowed emotions to cool, we can examine this rationally in the hope that something is learnt from these events. One central issue here is criticism. The willingness to exchange balanced criticism is a basic part of a world of ideas where we freely examine and debate each other’s concepts of how society should be organised and run. Human societies constantly evolve, taking on new ideas in law, commerce, trade and so on, while discarding or modifying old ones.
All across the world right now, the Islamic resurgence (aẗ-ẗajdid l-ʾIslāmiyyah) is rising. It is social movement which proposes social, economic and legal systems which are closer in line with an Islamic ideal. Islamo-vangelists like Zakir Naik are siring a generation of Dawah-speakers (proselytizers) who spread this message. This is often heavily influenced by hard-nosed Salafism, which is in turn funded by varied backers in the oil-rich Gulf states. They have targeted the West for years, though with questionable results. And there is a fatal flaw in this mode of proselytism. Simply expecting the rest of the world to accept Islam as a superior socioeconomic, political and personal system on the one hand and being unwilling to accept examination of that faith’s founder on the other is a flawed argumentative strategy.
Personally, I find outright ridicule distasteful and needlessly insulting. Simply going out of one’s way to anger a group, any group, is foolish. But systematic, results-based and representative analysis of all socioeconomic systems must be done, for the sake of the people who will live under those systems. And political Islam must be objectively scrutinised as well. Simply ‘leaving Muhammad out’ from any analysis of the Islamic system places a serious hamstring on any proper investigation.
Most Muslims do not necessarily see it that way of course. First of course is the very real love and adulation with which they regard Muhammad. Driven by rote-memorised education and a sense of religious/communal fervour, many Muslims find it impossible to see him as anything but a paragon of all virtue. Similarly, many Westerners would look up to Napoleon, the American founding fathers, Stephen Dushan, Jesus and a variety of other figures with varying levels of admiration and at times reverence, whatever the historical realities.
Religious and national ‘Hot points’ and historical figures are invoked or used for many different reasons in specific times and circumstances in history. The violent reaction to defamation in the Muslim world is not that different from the response of early 20th century nationalists to anything even remotely besmirching their country. The current obsession with Muhammad is due to relatively short-term historical dynamics, not because of something which makes ‘Islam’ innately violent or the West especially peaceful for all time.
Muslims indirectly express their very real anger and powerlessness over issues like the repeated Western invasions of their countries through the defamation argument. Many won’t, or can’t, admit when they’ve been wounded or hurt in some way – as in Palestine, Iraq, Kashmir, etc. So they lash out and try to gain limited control over limited issues, often in the most seemingly ridiculous ways.
Compounding this, for many Muslims, free speech is seen as a club to bash them with. For centuries orientalist critiques of the Muslim world flourished, portraying them as backward, woman-hating, violent savages. This critique was at times used to justify the colonisation and brutal exploitation of their lands, and later invasions of Iraq. For instance, during the Second gulf war the Bush regime used the banner of female liberation to help justify their invasion, even though they actively discriminated against women’s groups in their own country and ultimately brought disaster to Iraqi feminist organisations thanks to gross mismanagement. Up till recently, from many Muslims viewpoint, the ‘Free speech’ they have seen in the West is a speech which is streamlined to suit occidental interests and ideas, with the airtime given to their views minimal.
The defamation debate is part of a larger Muslim identity debate as well. And identity debates are usually emotional because they come to the core of how we see ourselves. And nobody likes being the underdog. Looking at it from their perspective, if the power which dominated us tried taking away the one remaining cornerstone of our individuality, how would we react? In retrospect, arguing about a man who has been dust for 1300 years makes a great deal of sense.
But we should not forget that the ‘defamation’ argument is a handy totem which dubious local leaders like ISIS use to rally Muslims to their banner. It helps suppress viable debates which undermine their power and diverts attention away from the larger issue of an examination of the Islamic system. And none of this justifies slaying people in cold blood.
So finally, the defamation debate is an identity issue, a temporary issue created by politics and the poor image of the Western media and domination by the West of the Muslim world among others. In my view, insult should be avoided whenever possible. But basic analysis cannot. Islamists use Muhammad as the example of a ‘perfect person’ for their proposed socioeconomic system. Any debate between Westerners and Islamic Dawah proselytizers over the future socioeconomic system we want will inevitably be drawn back to Muhammad in some way. If Islamists expect anyone to give the ‘Islamic system’ a serious assessment, there needs to be a thorough, honest analysis based on the original sources of Islam and their results, to decide whether there is any real example there applicable to today. Just like Western figures and history – like colonisation – must be criticised and examined honestly. Finally we need to do this in a calm way, free of intellectual restraint but not respect.